{"id":173339,"date":"2020-02-27T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-02-26T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/south.euneighbours.eu\/publication\/emnes-working-paper-29-la-syrie-dans-le-noir-estimation-des-consequences-economiques-de-la-guerre-civile-via-les-informations-concernant-leclairage-nocturne-obtenues-par-satellite\/"},"modified":"2022-07-08T14:17:05","modified_gmt":"2022-07-08T11:17:05","slug":"emnes-working-paper-29-la-syrie-dans-le-noir-estimation-des","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.eumedbridge.eu\/fr\/publication\/emnes-working-paper-29-la-syrie-dans-le-noir-estimation-des\/","title":{"rendered":"EMNES Working Paper 29 \u2013 La Syrie dans le noir: estimation des cons\u00e9quences \u00e9conomiques de la guerre civile via les informations concernant l\u2019\u00e9clairage nocturne obtenues par satellite"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span>La guerre civile syrienne a d\u00e9but\u00e9 en 2011 et depuis, elle a caus\u00e9 de s\u00e9rieux dommages \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie du pays, avec un grand nombre de morts et de r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s, ainsi que la destruction du patrimoine historique de la Syrie et son infrastructure.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ce document examine l\u2019impact de la guerre sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie de la Syrie vu de l\u2019espace, contournant ainsi la question de disponibilit\u00e9 des donn\u00e9es en raison de l\u2019inaccessibilit\u00e9 du territoire ravag\u00e9 par la guerre.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Cette \u00e9tude contribue \u00e0 la litt\u00e9rature de 3 mani\u00e8res\u00a0: tout d\u2019abord, nous avons estim\u00e9 l\u2019\u00e9lasticit\u00e9 de la croissance du Produit Int\u00e9rieur Brut (PIB) selon la variation de l\u2019\u00e9clairage nocturne pour un \u00e9chantillon de 13 pays de la r\u00e9gion MENA, ceci afin d\u2019obtenir des mesures alternatives de la croissance et perte du PIB, potentiellement surmontant les probl\u00e8mes r\u00e9sultant de la d\u00e9sinformation du gouvernement sur les statistiques officielles en temps de guerre.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ensuite, nous calculons la perte du PIB syrien apr\u00e8s 2011 selon cette m\u00e9thodologie. Nous obtenons ainsi des estimations plus pessimistes que celles report\u00e9es par les organisations internationales.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Enfin, en extrapolant la perte du PIB \u00e0 partir de la r\u00e9duction de l\u2019\u00e9clairage nocturne observ\u00e9e par satellite, nous fournissons des projections \u00e0 long terme pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie du pays et nous estimons la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019une reprise du PIB pour revenir \u00e0 des niveaux d\u2019avant-guerre. Nous discutons des implications g\u00e9opolitiques qui pourraient emp\u00eacher nos projections de se concr\u00e9tiser.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":127257,"parent":0,"template":"","publication_category":[],"country":[2029],"special_action":[],"custom_tag":[2312],"class_list":["post-173339","publication","type-publication","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","country-syrie","custom_tag-developpement-durable"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>EMNES Working Paper 29 \u2013 La Syrie dans le noir: estimation des cons\u00e9quences \u00e9conomiques de la guerre civile via les informations concernant l\u2019\u00e9clairage nocturne obtenues par satellite - Voisins de l&#039;UE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.eumedbridge.eu\/fr\/publication\/emnes-working-paper-29-la-syrie-dans-le-noir-estimation-des\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"EMNES Working Paper 29 \u2013 La Syrie dans le noir: estimation des cons\u00e9quences \u00e9conomiques de la guerre civile via les informations concernant l\u2019\u00e9clairage nocturne obtenues par satellite - Voisins de l&#039;UE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La guerre civile syrienne a d\u00e9but\u00e9 en 2011 et depuis, elle a caus\u00e9 de s\u00e9rieux dommages \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie du pays, avec un grand nombre de morts et de r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s, ainsi que la destruction du patrimoine historique de la Syrie et son infrastructure. 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